Why markets are taking notice of an inverted yield curve

Investors are weighing up whether the old economic metric is still effective against new market dynamics, while determining what the yield curve’s shape implies for investors in Asia.

As if there were not enough for markets to fret about. US inflationary pressure and rising costs are eroding corporate margins, offsetting any benefit of falling unemployment rates and rising wages. Overall, the data generally remains mixed, but when the spread between the two-year and ten-year yield curve inverted (downward sloping) in April, money managers began to take notice.

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