Where will the S&P 500 Index end 2018 year-on-year?

Down 15% or more – the bear market is roaring
  4%
 
Down 5%-15% – stocks drift lower after a correction
  17%
 
Up or down less than 5% – a healthy correction begets a flat year
  30%
 
Up 5% to 15% – tax cuts boost corporate earnings
  35%
 
Up 15% or more – there's no end to the nine-year bull run
  13%

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